A forecasting aggregator for the IL-9 Democratic primary combining prediction markets, polling, and fundraising data.
About
hey hey, my name is ryan! Most of my interests sit in some broad cross-section of elections, economics, and AI/inference. Outside of being a nerd, I swim quite a bit for my club and high school teams. In my free time I like to shoot photos, it’s a hobby of mine, and every once in a while I’ll shoot for the Chicago Union, our local pro ultimate frisbee team. I work as a Data Science Fellow at VoteHub, mostly on racecall and the occasional election model. I originally came on to help with our midterm model, including a small program that normalizes Kalshi odds.
Experience
2026 — Current
Data Science Fellow at VoteHub
Helped build a detailed election forecast and co-authored the 2026 midterm methodology paper. Developed a market-scoring pipeline and contributed to election-night racecall operations.
2025 — Current
Swim Instructor at YWCA
Taught swim lessons to young children.
2026 — 2026
Lakefront Lifeguard at Evanston Fire Department
Served as an open-water lifeguard on Evanston's lakefront. Maintained USLA, Red Cross Lifeguard, First Responder, and CPR certifications.
2025 — 2026
Volunteer Finance Lead at Daniel Biss for Congress (IL-9)
Supported volunteer finance operations for a competitive congressional primary. Provided data analysis and photography for campaign materials.
Projects
FUNDY
A Bayesian model predicting candidates' end-of-quarter fundraising from daily itemized FEC data.
Seiche
A live model forecasting Lake Michigan water temperature using quantile gradient-boosting models.
Manifold Prediction Market Trader
Active trader ranked in the top 50 by volume and top 0.25% by profit.
Education
2024 — 2028
High School Diploma at Evanston Township High School
Skills
Election ForecastingPrediction MarketsData JournalismMachine LearningStatistical ModellingCampaign Finance AnalysisTopographic MappingLLM Fine-tuning